Tshisekedi Signals Possible Third Term and 2028 Election Delay in DR Congo

What happened

President Félix Tshisekedi has indicated he is open to seeking a third term in office when his current mandate expires in 2028, provided the Congolese people support the move through a referendum. Speaking at a major press conference in Kinshasa, the president also suggested that the country's next general elections might not take place on schedule if the ongoing conflict in the eastern regions is not brought to a definitive end.

What's new in this update

The most significant development is Tshisekedi’s direct linkage between the security situation and the electoral calendar. He stated clearly that if the war against M23 rebels does not conclude, the government will be unable to organize the 2028 vote. This marks a shift in rhetoric, as the president explicitly opened the door to a constitutional amendment regarding term limits, which currently restrict a president to two terms.

Key details

A bill was submitted to parliament in March that outlines the procedures for organizing referendums. While supporters claim it strengthens democratic processes, opposition members view it as a calculated tool to bypass the current constitutional term limits. During the three-hour event at State House, Tshisekedi also addressed the U.S. sanctions against his predecessor, Joseph Kabila, describing the former leader's alleged support for rebels as 'a real mess' and labeling former democratic allies as 'gravediggers' of the nation.

Background and context

Since being re-elected in 2023, Tshisekedi has faced an intensifying insurgency from M23 rebels, who have seized significant territory in the North and South Kivu regions. The DRC government and the U.S. have accused Rwanda of backing the rebels to exploit mineral resources, a claim Rwanda denies. A U.S.-brokered peace deal signed in December has seen little progress, with Tshisekedi blaming Rwandan obstruction for the continued fighting.

What to watch next

Observers are closely monitoring the progression of the referendum bill through parliament, as its passage would provide the legal mechanism for Tshisekedi to seek a third term. Additionally, the international community will be looking for signs of a breakthrough in diplomatic negotiations with Rwanda, as the president has prioritized peace through diplomacy while warning of electoral delays if those efforts fail.